A Bull Market In Starter
Homes & Second Homes Is Coming!
The Echo
Boomers.
An emerging wave of echo boomers –
the sons and daughters of baby boomers – spells profit for income
property investors.
1n 1978, the nation began to
experience a wave of increasing births (called the echo boom). During
the 18 years thereafter, births steadily climbed from around 3.5 million
to approximately 4.1 million per year. The peak of this group is
now in their twenties and starting to look
for starter homes to rent or buy (with parents assistance).
Demand
The demand for starter
homes is set to be strong for the next decade.
- U.S.
Population is growing by 3 million
per year
- Our Current Annual Population Growth is
3 million per year approximately. During the next 20 years,
moderate projections show that the U.S. population will grow by 50
million.
-
Household size has shrunk, creating a need
for a much larger number of new housing units
- 50 million people will need a net gain
of 20-25 million housing units. Americans average 2.3 per
household. Given the relative decline of families with children,
more singles living alone, seniors living longer, the number of
households required may be closer to 25 million
- Incomes
will continue to rise, boosted by productivity
- The outlook for productivity is bright.
People earn more money when they become more productive
- 78 Million Baby Boomers are
expected to be in the market for Second Homes
- Nearly all forecasters expect 15 to 20
million households will own second homes in the next two decades,
from 7 million today
New
Construction Cannot Keep Pace
Builders will not be able to keep
up with demand and are tightly constrained by five factors:
- High
Costs of Construction – most people cant afford to
buy or rent new construction in highly populated areas
- Lack
of Land in desirable areas – Although the U.S.
enjoys an abundance of land, most of isn’t located where people want
to live. Choice locations are premium priced
-
Cumbersome regulatory approvals – Costly and lengthy
government permits, major developments require effort of many years
to get moving
- Not
In MY Backyard Environmentalists Opposition -
Builders must face off with environmentalists, Public Interest
Groups, and others that want to restrict development
-
Inadequate Infrastructure for new developments – New
developments require additional roads, schools, parks, water supply,
recreational areas. Governments will assess builders thousands of
dollars per unit in impact fees.
Stocks Cannot Compare
With Real Estate When It Comes To Wealth Creation!
- Rents Today Yield A Much Higher
Return Than The Dividend Yield On Stocks
- Rents Today Yield A Bit Higher Than Bonds,
But Real Estate Also Offers Appreciation, Bonds Can Appreciate or
Depreciate Depending on Interest Rates
Real Estate Offers 6 Streams of Wealth
Building Potential!
- A Dependable and Growing Stream of
Rental Revenue
- Appreciation
- Leverage – Just a 5%
increase in the value of property translates to a 25% Return on Your
Money
- Tax Advantages, Most
Significant is Depreciation On Income Property
- Mortgage Payoff
- Bargain Purchase Price
Wall Street's Secret
Here’s what stock brokers will never tell you:
Leverage on reasonably purchased Real Estate blows away Returns from
any other investment. And Stocks do not let you use leverage
because you’re borrowing at 6-8% and the dividend yield is
2%, you’ll go poor in a hurry using that formula!
With Real Estate, on a $200,000
Investment, 5% appreciation is $10,000. On Your 10% Down Payment, That
Is 100% Return On Investment.
And Real Estate Prices Are
Far More Stable Than Stock Prices.
Here’s the Bad News!
Most investors today shy
away from the perils of landlording, taking calls at midnight
to fix pipes or collecting rent headaches.
The second false belief is
that over the long run stocks outperform rental properties,
perpetuated by the Wall Street public relations machine.
The stock market will not provide
50 million Americans with the income they need for a prosperous and
secure future.
Rising Interest Rates are
not necessarily bad for Real Estate, but will kill stock and bond
portfolios
Between 1965 and 1980 when rates rose higher and higher, the national
median home price did not have a single down year, and housing
appreciation rates remained strong, primarily driven by the demographics
similar to today.
More Inflation, Higher Building Costs
Inflation drives up the cost of construction. So rising energy
prices will cause builders to suffer. Buyers retreat in the face of
rising cost of construction, higher mortgage payments, and difficult
qualifying. Owing to the changed outlook, fewer new houses and
apartments get built. Existing properties appreciate until their prices
climb high enough to again make wide scale building profitable.
More Inflation, Investors Flee From the Stock Market
Most investors ARM mortgages are capped and protected by rising interest
rates for a couple of years. But stock investors have nowhere to hide.
The market usually overreacts and kills portfolio performance
immediately. Investors panic and lock in losses.
The
Real Estate
Foundation Can Help!!
We Help Clients
Build Real Estate Portfolios Using Low
Down Payment Strategies
REASON NOT FAITH
When it comes to investing, facts
eventually expose illusions. Eventually reason trumps faith. More than
80 million Americans need to invest successfully. Most of us can no
longer count on a pension, socital security or a lifetime job to
guarantee financial prosperity – or survival. Yet most keep putting
money in 401ks and keep taking losses and chanting “Stocks for the long
run”.
Unfortunately, stocks can’t
deliver. Sure, some will find the eBays and Microsofts. But for the
great majority, disappointment will prevail.
You can still win with
Real Estate Investing (For Now)
We have provided the facts and
reasoning to support our view that Real Estate is the best
wealth building mechanism.
The Solution:
Start Now, Times are tougher,
Prices are Higher, but there are rapidly growing
markets where you can buy Homes Under $300k.
So Should You Wait? Absolutely
Not. In the early 1990s, the press overwhelmingly told Americans
not to buy real estate. They said “Housing no longer a good
investment”.
Those that took the opposite view
and were buying all through the 1990s made out handsomely.
Get into the Game Now.
Our view is that housing prices will continue to do well in the areas we
have researched. |